Georgia’s war & the aftermath

3

Georgia’s war & the aftermath

Many
of us had sleepless nights following the war in south ossetia, fearing
it can lead to wars in the whole region. Finally the worst is behind
(hope), can breath & assort where we ended up. Below I share my
observations, sometimes judgments:


- one should be mentally
challenged to think that could attack on south ossetia or Abkhazia
& not get russia’s reply accordingly, that Russia would let the two
regions to fall to america’s Georgia.
- One should be naïve to
believe that the USA or Europe or NATO or any other state/organization
would involve in war with Russia for Georgia’s sake.
- Attacking
any of the unrecognized republics, the second front would be opened for
Georgia without much delays, potential for 3rd & 4th fronts still
exists.

Only first 2 statements deny any logic behind
georgia’s war startup. Still cannot believe how it could happen?! Ok,
sahakashvili is psycho & the diagnosis is not new, but the Georgian
nation? What has blinded the folk that the majority supports
sahakashvili’s war? What instincts were ruling them on 8th of august to
celebrate a wild joy-party when getting the news that tskhinvali is
destroyed & taken by Georgian forces? Knowing of thousands of
victims among civilian ossetians, who Georgians clame are their
co-citizens? & indeed are their brother-nation.. how to explain the
hundred thousands of Georgians gathering today in Tbilisi to support
sahakashvili & the war? How they believe that after the renewed
war, bombings, grads, destroying their houses, killings of civilian
population, refreshing the hatred ossetians or Abkhazians will ever
want to live in one country with Georgians, I don’t say in a country
where Georgians rule.. I have many friends in Georgia, & if I ask
those questions to them now, I’m afraid I’ll simply loose them & be
turned into their “enemy”. But I hope after the tensions calm down, the
life gets settled, our neighbours will ask themselves questions &
find the answers. Unless the Georgian
folk recognizes the committed crime, the right of other nations for
freedom, the impassibleness of marriage through war & of forced
integration, the wars with breakaway regions will be restarted every
now and then, ASA Georgia regains strength & military potential.
& we have already seen that there’ll be many volunteers to supply
armaments to Georgia, to provide with money, to train Georgian troops.

I
still have difficulties to guess what was georgia’s aim to start the
war, what they wanted to achieve, but I can already see the actual
results:
- for the foreseeable future Georgia can forget about
joining NATO, the NATO states do not want to accept into their club smb
so unreliable, unpredictable, instable, impulsive, adventurist (the
rest of adjectives that come to mind r not politically correct,
skipping). & they don’t want to play in war with Russia either.
- EU acception perspectives are pushed away for uncertain time
-
In today’s meeting sahakashvili says smth like “Georgia is the
frontline of europe’s fight against Russia”. But did mr still president
ask europe if it wants to fight against russia? & what was doing
the EU flag in all tv-shows sahakashvili held?! an american flag would
be more appropriate..
- Georgia practically has already lost the 2
breakaway regions, with its aggression only showed the whole world that
the regions cannot be part of Georgia. Georgians themselves gave
winning cards to the opposite sides.
- Tskhinvali is completely
destroyed, the inhabitants either became refugees or are killed or wait
to be evacuated. Many other spots in the region also suffered severely.

- Georgia’s infrastructure is damaged, the population of the conflict zone line became refugees.
- Apart from the economy, the reputation of the country is damaged in the world.
- There were immense military losses.
- There were human losses both among civilians and soldiers.
- After the conflict the country will face severe internal crisis, government’s change is inevitable.
-
The regional communications through Georgia and energy infrastructures
are paralyzed, suffer not only Georgia, but also the neighboring
countries.
- West’s multimillion investments in Georgia are basically lost.
- The bank system faces a crisis. Etc etc, I guess one can continue the list endless..

From
whatever viewpoint I don’t try to look at the situation, there’re only
losses for Georgia, why they would need this war?!!! How they could
believe will come out as winners from this insane move? or was it a
suicide attempt just to get other’s attentions?!

Questions are
rather rhetoric, no sense to continue. What is clear, that despite the
Europe mediates the return to prewar lines, despite moscow’s agreement
to it, the status quo is altered & cannot be returned to the prewar situation.
Once unfrozen, it won’t be easy to freeze back the conflicts, it’s no
toy to play. This means the talks will be intensified & Georgia
will be forced to recognize the separatist regions’ independence.

*
& ja, today’s wars are more information wars than real fighting on
the frontline. Who has a professional disinformation & propaganda
generator “CNN” - has already gone half-way to the victory. from the
western media the most adequate turned out to be the german press (i'm
almost proud:))


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Moonlight's picture
Moonlight – 1 year 30 weeks ago

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